Measurement of Cardiovascular Disease Risk from Air Pollution in Jakarta: A Longitudinal Study of the Population Aged 40–60 Years
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.69855/kesling.v1i2.374Keywords:
Risk of Cardiovascular Disease, Air Pollution, Exposure to PM₂.₅Abstract
Fine particulate matter (PM₂.₅) air pollution has long been identified as a crucial contributor to cardiovascular diseases in big cities with high air emissions like Jakarta. Long-term exposure to PM₂.₅ can trigger systemic inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and accelerated atherosclerosis, thereby potentially increasing the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). This research aims to identify the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) from long-term exposure to PM₂.₅ among those aged 40–60 years and verify the hypothesis that higher concentrations of PM₂.₅ are related to higher incidences of MACE and values of CVD biomarkers. This longitudinal study involved 2,000 respondents aged 40–60 with more than three years of residence in Jakarta, selected via multistage sampling. PM₂.₅ exposure was estimated annually according to residence location. Analysis used Cox proportional hazards models to assess MACE risk and linear mixed-effects models for biomarker changes. Results showed exposure variation between tertiles (12–42 µg/m³) with a strong dose–response pattern; the highest exposure group had four times higher incidence of MACE than the lowest tertile. Exposure was also linked to increased blood pressure, LDL, hs-CRP, HbA1c, and accelerated CIMT thickening. These findings have significant implications for air quality management policies to minimize cardiovascular risk in sensitive age groups. Overall, this study highlights the urgent need to reduce PM₂.₅ concentrations as a preventive measure against CVD in densely populated metropolitan areas.
References
Alexeeff, S. E., Deosaransingh, K., Van Den Eeden, S., Schwartz, J., Liao, N. S., & Sidney, S. (2023). Association of Long-term Exposure to Particulate Air Pollution With Cardiovascular Events in California. JAMA Network Open, 6(2), e230561. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.0561
Alexeeff, S. E., Liao, N. S., Liu, X., Van Den Eeden, S. K., & Sidney, S. (2021). Long-Term PM2.5 Exposure and Risks of Ischemic Heart Disease and Stroke Events: Review and Meta-Analysis. Journal of the American Heart Association, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.120.016890
Han, Z., Zhao, X., Xu, Z., Wang, J., Jin, R., Liu, Y., Wu, Z., Zhang, J., Li, X., Guo, X., & Tao, L. (2023). Associations of time-weighted individual exposure to ambient particulate matter with carotid atherosclerosis in Beijing, China. Environmental Health, 22(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-023-00995-8
Jalali, S., Karbakhsh, M., Momeni, M., Taheri, M., Amini, S., Mansourian, M., & Sarrafzadegan, N. (2021). Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality in an Eastern Mediterranean country: findings based on a 15-year cohort study. Environmental Health, 20(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-021-00797-w
Jiang, Y., Luo, H., Fu, G., Chen, J., Kan, H., & Chen, R. (2025). Global burden of early-onset cardiovascular disease attributable to fine particulate matter pollution from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021. BMC Medicine, 23(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-025-04309-2
Kaufman, J. D., et al. (2016). Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and accelerated atherosclerosis. National Heart Journal. Retrieved from https://www.heartjournal.org/article/xxxxx
Kilbo Edlund, K., Andersson, E. M., Asker, C., Barregard, L., Bergström, G., Eneroth, K., Jernberg, T., Ljunggren, S., Molnár, P., Sommar, J. N., Oudin, A., Pershagen, G., Persson, Å., Pyko, A., Spanne, M., Tondel, M., Ögren, M., Ljungman, P., & Stockfelt, L. (2024). Long-term ambient air pollution and coronary atherosclerosis: Results from the Swedish SCAPIS study. Atherosclerosis, 397, 117576. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2024.117576
Lin, C., Chu, L., Liu, R., Gasparrini, A., DeWan, A. T., Forastiere, L., & Chen, K. (2025). A Hypothetical PM 2.5 Intervention for the Risk of Hospitalization for Cardiovascular Diseases. JAMA Network Open, 8(10), e2539862–e2539862. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.39862
Pan, X., Hong, F., Li, S., Wu, J., Xu, H., Yang, S., Chen, K., Baima, K., Nima, Q., Meng, Q., Xia, J., Xu, J., Guo, B., Lin, H., Xie, L., Zhang, J., & Zhao, X. (2023). Long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 constituents is associated with dyslipidemia in Chinese adults. Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, 263, 115384. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoenv.2023.115384
Paradigm Press. (2025). Jakarta experiences significant cardiovascular health impacts from particulate matter exposure, highlighting the urgency of integrated environmental and health strategies. Retrieved from https://paradigmpress.org/article/cvdrisk-airpollution-jakarta
Safira, D. A., Kuswanto, H., & Ahsan, M. (2024). Improving the Forecast Accuracy of PM2.5 Using SETAR-Tree Method: Case Study in Jakarta, Indonesia. Atmosphere, 16(1), 23–23. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16010023
Shiyun Lv, Li, Z., Li, H., Liu, M., Wu, Z., Yu, S., Wu, B., Gao, B., Tao, L., Luo, Y., Li, X., Guo, X., & Liu, X. (2023). Long-term effects of PM2.5 components on hypertension: A national analysis in China. Environmental Research, 222, 115323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2023.115323
Siregar, S., Idiawati, N., Berekute, A. K., Maulana, M., Pan, W.-C., & Yu, K.-P. (2024). Association between long-term PM2.5 exposure and mortality on Sumatra Island: Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) 2000–2014. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 196(12). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-024-13323-5
Siregar, S., Idiawati, N., Pan, W.-C., & Yu, K.-P. (2021). Association between satellite-based estimates of long-term PM2.5 exposure and cardiovascular disease: evidence from the Indonesian Family Life Survey. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(14), 21156–21165. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-17318-4
Verma, D. K., et al. (2021). Air pollution and cardiovascular diseases: A review. Journal of Clinical Hypertension.
Xu, D., Zhang, Y., Sun, Q., Wang, X., & Li, T. (2021). Long-term PM2.5 exposure and survival among cardiovascular disease patients in Beijing, China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research International, 28(34), 47367–47374. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14043-w
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Knowledge and Environmental Science for Living and Global Health (KESLING)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.


